LYON vs Team Liquid prediction for May 10, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Liquid 2 - LYON 0. Team Liquid is favored with a 58.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Team Liquid
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCS
LYON
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Team LiquidLYON
0-2
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 45.2% (8,340 games)
Team Profiles
LYON
Early
57%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1646 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 24-23 (51%)
Team Liquid
Early
47%
Mid
49%
Late
49%
Elo: 1675 · Record: 25-28 (47%)
Score Distribution
LYON winsTeam Liquid wins
0-2
30.7%
1-2
27.8%
2-0
18.2%
2-1
23.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.8%Draft +0.1%Phase +1.3%Context -0.6%
Key Factors
- Closely matched teams (29 Elo difference)
- LYON leads the H2H record 2-1
Market Odds
LYON
-110
Edge: -20.8%
Team Liquid
-120
Edge: +7.3%
🎯 Projection: Team Liquid ML @ -120 · Edge +7.3%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.25
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →