League of Legends

MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports Prediction

August 19, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports prediction for August 19, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects REDPack Esports 0 - MAGAZA 2. MAGAZA is favored with a 64.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

REDPack Esports
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • EBL
MAGAZA
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
35.1%
64.9%
REDPack EsportsMAGAZA
2-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALREDPack Esports 1 — MAGAZA 2
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 61.9% (2,493 games)

Team Profiles

MAGAZA
Early
61%
Mid
62%
Late
62%
Elo: 1713 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
REDPack Esports
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1499

Score Distribution

MAGAZA winsREDPack Esports wins
0-2
14.2%
1-2
18.9%
2-0
33.9%
2-1
33.0%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

MAGAZA
-1150
REDPack Esports
+1150
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.74

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

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