Maryville University vs NRG Esports prediction for September 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects NRG Esports 3 - Maryville University 1. NRG Esports is favored with a 66.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
NRG Esports
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • NACL
Maryville University
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
NRG EsportsMaryville University
1-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.6% (18,922 games)
Team Profiles
Maryville University
Early
56%
Mid
57%
Late
57%
Elo: 1617 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 6-4 (60%)
NRG Esports
Early
66%
Mid
67%
Late
67%
Elo: 1811 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Score Distribution
Maryville University winsNRG Esports wins
0-3
23.8%
1-3
26.6%
2-3
16.4%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
10.7%
3-2
17.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Maryville University
+288
NRG Esports
-285
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.