Team Heretics Academy vs Movistar KOI Fénix prediction for August 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar KOI Fénix 1 - Team Heretics Academy 2. Team Heretics Academy is favored with a 53.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Movistar KOI Fénix
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA
Team Heretics Academy
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Movistar KOI FénixTeam Heretics Academy
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.3% (17,372 games)
Projected
Movistar KOI Fénix 1 — Team Heretics Academy 2
Actual
Movistar KOI Fénix 3 — Team Heretics Academy 2
Team Profiles
Team Heretics Academy
Early
67%
Mid
68%
Late
68%
Elo: 1835 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1963 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 9-0 (100%)
Score Distribution
Team Heretics Academy winsMovistar KOI Fénix wins
0-2
24.0%
1-2
22.5%
2-0
24.4%
2-1
29.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Team Heretics Academy
+127
Movistar KOI Fénix
-127
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.40
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.