Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates prediction for October 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects TLN Pirates 0 - Movistar KOI Fénix 3. Movistar KOI Fénix is favored with a 65.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).
TLN Pirates
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • EMEA Masters
Movistar KOI Fénix
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
TLN PiratesMovistar KOI Fénix
3-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 65.4% (19,656 games)
Projected
TLN Pirates 0 — Movistar KOI Fénix 3
Actual
TLN Pirates 1 — Movistar KOI Fénix 3
Team Profiles
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1935 · 📈 Scaling · Record: 7-3 (70%)
TLN Pirates
Early
66%
Mid
67%
Late
68%
Elo: 1829 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Score Distribution
Movistar KOI Fénix winsTLN Pirates wins
0-3
10.4%
1-3
13.6%
2-3
10.6%
3-0
28.9%
3-1
20.7%
3-2
15.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Movistar KOI Fénix
-331
TLN Pirates
+2400
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.