League of Legends

Movistar KOI Fenix vs UCAM Prediction

August 5, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Movistar KOI Fenix vs UCAM prediction for August 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects UCAM 2 - Movistar KOI Fenix 0. UCAM is favored with a 74.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

UCAM
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • Unknown
Movistar KOI Fenix
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
74.3%
25.7%
UCAMMovistar KOI Fenix
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.6% (14,768 games)

Team Profiles

Movistar KOI Fenix
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500
UCAM
Early
67%
Mid
68%
Late
69%
Elo: 1841 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 8-2 (80%)

Score Distribution

Movistar KOI Fenix winsUCAM wins
0-2
44.5%
1-2
29.8%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
15.2%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.

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