League of Legends

Ucam Esports Club vs Movistar Koi Fenix Prediction

October 3, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Ucam Esports Club vs Movistar Koi Fenix prediction for October 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Movistar Koi Fenix 0 - Ucam Esports Club 2. Ucam Esports Club is favored with a 68.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).

Movistar Koi Fenix
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • Unknown
Ucam Esports Club
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
31.2%
68.8%
Movistar Koi FenixUcam Esports Club
2-0
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALMovistar Koi Fenix 0 — Ucam Esports Club 1
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 68.3% (3,042 games)

Team Profiles

Ucam Esports Club
Early
62%
Mid
63%
Late
64%
Elo: 1743 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 7-3 (70%)
Movistar Koi Fenix
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500

Score Distribution

Ucam Esports Club winsMovistar Koi Fenix wins
0-2
16.7%
1-2
14.6%
2-0
46.1%
2-1
22.7%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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Market Odds

Ucam Esports Club
+375
Movistar Koi Fenix
-600
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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