League of Legends

MVK Esports vs Team Secret Prediction

May 9, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

MVK Esports vs Team Secret prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Team Secret 3 - MVK Esports 0. Team Secret is favored with a 85.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-3 (Best of 5).

Team Secret
3
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • Unknown
MVK Esports
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
85.3%
14.7%
Team SecretMVK Esports
0-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALTeam Secret 1 — MVK Esports 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 78.6% (8,214 games)

Team Profiles

MVK Esports
Early
57%
Mid
44%
Late
40%
Elo: 1523 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-5 (29%)
Team Secret
Early
47%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1881 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 23-24 (49%)

Score Distribution

MVK Esports winsTeam Secret wins
0-3
33.3%
1-3
32.9%
2-3
19.1%
3-0
2.0%
3-1
4.5%
3-2
8.1%

Advantage Breakdown

Draft -0.6%Phase -1.2%Context -0.8%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.30
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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