League of Legends

Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports Prediction

May 29, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports prediction for May 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects MVK Esports 0 - Team Secret Whales 3. Team Secret Whales is favored with a 89.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-0 (Best of 5).

MVK Esports
0
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • LCP
Team Secret Whales
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
10.5%
89.5%
MVK EsportsTeam Secret Whales
3-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALMVK Esports 0 — Team Secret Whales 1
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 85.0% (10,967 games)

Team Profiles

Team Secret Whales
Early
47%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1906 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 23-24 (49%)
MVK Esports
Early
57%
Mid
44%
Late
40%
Elo: 1553 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 2-5 (29%)

Score Distribution

Team Secret Whales winsMVK Esports wins
0-3
1.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-3
5.5%
3-0
39.4%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
19.1%

Advantage Breakdown

Player +0.2%Draft +0.4%Phase +1.0%Context +1.7%

Key Factors

Market Odds

Team Secret Whales
-450
Edge: +9.4%
MVK Esports
+300
Edge: -57.9%
🎯 Projection: Team Secret Whales ML @ -450 · Edge +9.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.27
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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