League of Legends

NONGSHIM RED FORCE vs Dplus KIA Prediction

May 3, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

NONGSHIM RED FORCE vs Dplus KIA prediction for May 3, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Dplus KIA 2 - NONGSHIM RED FORCE 0. Dplus KIA is favored with a 68.9% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).

Dplus KIA
2
Projected Maps
VS Bo3 • LCK
NONGSHIM RED FORCE
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
68.9%
31.1%
Dplus KIANONGSHIM RED FORCE
0-2
Most Likely Score
MEDIUM
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALDplus KIA 1 — NONGSHIM RED FORCE 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 58.6% (7,109 games)

Team Profiles

NONGSHIM RED FORCE
Early
35%
Mid
48%
Late
46%
Elo: 1531 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 14-20 (41%)
Dplus KIA
Early
53%
Mid
50%
Late
50%
Elo: 1710 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 29-28 (51%)

Score Distribution

NONGSHIM RED FORCE winsDplus KIA wins
0-2
44.4%
1-2
24.0%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
19.9%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -0.3%Draft +0.4%Phase +0.5%Context -0.4%

Key Factors

Market Odds

NONGSHIM RED FORCE
+150
Edge: -22.3%
Dplus KIA
-200
Edge: +3.4%
🎯 Projection: Dplus KIA ML @ -200 · Edge +3.4%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.21
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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