Orange vs VfB prediction for August 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects VfB 0 - Orange 2. Orange is favored with a 80.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
VfB
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Unknown
Orange
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
VfBOrange
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 76.8% (15,933 games)
Team Profiles
Orange
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500
VfB
Early
33%
Mid
34%
Late
34%
Elo: 1158 · Record: 2-8 (20%)
Score Distribution
Orange winsVfB wins
0-2
7.6%
1-2
12.1%
2-0
50.5%
2-1
29.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.29
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.