paiN Gaming vs Keyd Stars prediction for September 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Keyd Stars 2 - paiN Gaming 0. Keyd Stars is favored with a 68.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Keyd Stars
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • Unknown
paiN Gaming
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Keyd StarspaiN Gaming
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.1% (18,828 games)
Projected
Keyd Stars 2 — paiN Gaming 0
Actual
Keyd Stars 0 — paiN Gaming 1
Team Profiles
paiN Gaming
Early
39%
Mid
40%
Late
41%
Elo: 1284 · Record: 3-7 (30%)
Keyd Stars
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1436
Score Distribution
paiN Gaming winsKeyd Stars wins
0-2
42.9%
1-2
25.8%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
20.7%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
paiN Gaming
-2800
Keyd Stars
+1100
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.