Supernova vs Winthrop University prediction for May 27, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Winthrop University 1 - Supernova 3. Supernova is favored with a 80.5% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).
Winthrop University
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • NACL
Supernova
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Winthrop UniversitySupernova
3-1
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.1% (10,757 games)
Team Profiles
Supernova
Early
60%
Mid
64%
Late
72%
Elo: 1687 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-0 (100%)
Winthrop University
Early
62%
Mid
55%
Late
59%
Elo: 1511 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 9-4 (69%)
Score Distribution
Supernova winsWinthrop University wins
0-3
2.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-3
9.8%
3-0
29.0%
3-1
29.2%
3-2
22.3%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.2%Phase +1.8%Context -0.2%
Key Factors
- Supernova holds a significant Elo advantage (176 pts)
- Supernova leads the H2H record 3-0
- Supernova is in stronger recent form
Market Odds
Supernova
-171
Edge: +27.6%
Winthrop University
+139
Edge: -53.5%
🎯 Projection: Supernova ML @ -171 · Edge +27.6%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →