League of Legends

Valerion vs Heretics Academy Prediction

September 28, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Valerion vs Heretics Academy prediction for September 28, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Heretics Academy 1 - Valerion 0. Heretics Academy is favored with a 51.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-1 (Best of 1).

Heretics Academy
1
Projected Maps
VS Bo1 • EMEA Masters
Valerion
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
51.8%
48.2%
Heretics AcademyValerion
0-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 48.7% (19,368 games)
FINALHeretics Academy 1 — Valerion 0
Projected
Heretics Academy 1 — Valerion 0
Actual
Heretics Academy 1 — Valerion 0

Team Profiles

Valerion
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 2010 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 10-0 (100%)
Heretics Academy
Early
64%
Mid
65%
Late
65%
Elo: 1778 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 4-6 (40%)

Score Distribution

Valerion winsHeretics Academy wins
0-1
51.8%
1-0
48.2%

Advantage Breakdown

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Model Advantages
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Key Factors

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Matchup Intelligence
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championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.33

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.

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