League of Legends

Team We vs Top Esports Prediction

May 9, 2026

20,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Team We vs Top Esports prediction for May 9, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Top Esports 3 - Team We 1. Top Esports is favored with a 80.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).

Top Esports
3
Projected Maps
VS Bo5 • Unknown
Team We
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
80.7%
19.3%
Top EsportsTeam We
1-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
FINALTop Esports 1 — Team We 0
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.2% (8,214 games)

Team Profiles

Team We
Early
53%
Mid
49%
Late
48%
Elo: 1370 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 20-23 (47%)
Top Esports
Early
50%
Mid
53%
Late
55%
Elo: 1610 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 45-29 (61%)

Score Distribution

Team We winsTop Esports wins
0-3
28.1%
1-3
32.8%
2-3
19.8%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
6.2%
3-2
10.3%

Advantage Breakdown

Player -2.0%Draft -0.1%Phase -1.5%Context -4.1%

Key Factors

championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.20
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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