Jacksonville Jaguars vs Denver Broncos prediction for September 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Denver Broncos 19.7 - Jacksonville Jaguars 22.1. Jacksonville Jaguars is favored with a 57.0% win probability. The spread is -2.5 and the total is 45.5.
Denver Broncos
19.7
Projected Score
VS
O/U 45.5
Jacksonville Jaguars
22.1
Projected Score
Win Probability
Denver BroncosJacksonville Jaguars
-2.5
Spread (Denver Broncos)
45.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 60.5% (320 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Jacksonville Jaguars
152229
Denver Broncos
122027
Market Lines
Spread
Denver Broncos -2.5
Total
45.5
Game Conditions
Clear
71°F7 mph wind
Model Edge
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NFL Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →