Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets prediction for November 1, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects New York Jets 21.3 - Las Vegas Raiders 20.9. New York Jets is favored with a 51.3% win probability. The spread is -1.0 and the total is 45.5.
New York Jets
21.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 45.5
Las Vegas Raiders
20.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
New York JetsLas Vegas Raiders
-1.0
Spread (New York Jets)
45.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 45.6% (448 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Las Vegas Raiders
142128
New York Jets
142129
Market Lines
Spread
New York Jets -1.0
Total
45.5
Game Conditions
Mostly Clear
64°F8 mph wind
Model Edge
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NFL Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NFL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NFL 2026 season report card.