NHL Hockey

BUF vs ANA Prediction

October 29, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

BUF vs ANA prediction for October 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects ANA 3.22 - BUF 3.56. BUF is favored with a 58.7% win probability. The spread is 1.5 and the total is 6.5.

ANA
3.22
Projected Score
VS O/U 6.5
BUF
3.56
Projected Score
Win Probability
41.3%
58.7%
ANABUF
+1.5
Spread (ANA)
6.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.9% (1,392 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

BUF
2.53.64.6
ANA
2.13.24.3
FINALANA 6 — BUF 7
Projected
ANA 3.22 — BUF 3.56
Actual
ANA 6 — BUF 7

Game Odds

ANA ML
+123
BUF ML
-141
Puck Line
+1.5
Total
6.5
Model Quality58/100 (GOOD)
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Goalie Matchup

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
22-93.69 GAA86.2% SV
VS
Lukas Dostal
30-203.56 GAA87.2% SV

Special Teams

Power Play
BUF
19.8%
ANA
20.5%
Penalty Kill
BUF
78.9%
ANA
78.3%
90% Confidence: 44.2% – 45.9% home win probability

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NHL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NHL 2026 season report card.

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