NHL Hockey

CGY vs SEA Prediction

September 24, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

CGY vs SEA prediction for September 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects SEA 2.78 - CGY 2.42. SEA is favored with a 52.2% win probability.

SEA
2.78
Projected Score
VS
CGY
2.42
Projected Score
Win Probability
52.2%
47.8%
SEACGY
N/A
Spread
N/A
Total Line
5,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 52.4% (1,117 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

CGY
1.32.43.5
SEA
1.72.83.9
FINALSEA 4 — CGY 3
Projected
SEA 2.78 — CGY 2.42
Actual
SEA 4 — CGY 3
Model Quality52/100 (FAIR)

Goalie Matchup

Dustin Wolf
29-163.05 GAA89.7% SV
VS
Joey Daccord
27-233.01 GAA89.7% SV
90% Confidence: 54.7% – 57.1% home win probability

Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NHL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NHL 2026 season report card.

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