NHL Hockey

LAK vs NYR Prediction

October 26, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

LAK vs NYR prediction for October 26, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects NYR 3.56 - LAK 2.25. NYR is favored with a 52.1% win probability. The spread is -1.5 and the total is 6.0.

NYR
3.56
Projected Score
VS O/U 6.0
LAK
2.25
Projected Score
Win Probability
52.1%
47.9%
NYRLAK
-1.5
Spread (NYR)
6.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 47.7% (1,322 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

LAK
1.22.23.3
NYR
2.53.64.6

Game Odds

NYR ML
-130
LAK ML
+115
Puck Line
-1.5
Total
6.0
Model Quality52/100 (FAIR)
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Goalie Matchup

Darcy Kuemper
19-143.55 GAA89.0% SV
VS
Dylan Garand
2-02.69 GAA89.9% SV

Special Teams

Power Play
LAK
19.5%
NYR
22.1%
Penalty Kill
LAK
77.4%
NYR
80.0%
90% Confidence: 70.3% – 71.8% home win probability

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NHL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NHL 2026 season report card.

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