NHL Hockey

STL vs DET Prediction

October 31, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

STL vs DET prediction for October 31, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects DET 3.47 - STL 2.44. DET is favored with a 63.5% win probability. The spread is -1.5 and the total is 6.0.

DET
3.47
Projected Score
VS O/U 6.0
STL
2.44
Projected Score
Win Probability
63.5%
36.5%
DETSTL
-1.5
Spread (DET)
6.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
☑ Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.5% (1,412 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

STL
1.42.43.5
DET
2.43.54.6
FINALDET 4 — STL 5
Projected
DET 3.47 — STL 2.44
Actual
DET 4 — STL 5

Game Odds

DET ML
-108
STL ML
+102
Puck Line
-1.5
Total
6.0
Model Quality54/100 (FAIR)
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Goalie Matchup

Joel Hofer
24-132.24 GAA92.3% SV
VS
John Gibson
29-223.15 GAA87.4% SV

Special Teams

Power Play
STL
20.3%
DET
21.6%
Penalty Kill
STL
78.8%
DET
77.7%
90% Confidence: 66.9% – 68.4% home win probability

AI Intelligence Analysis

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Edge Analysis

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NHL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NHL 2026 season report card.

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