VAN vs TBL prediction for October 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects TBL 4.13 - VAN 2.29. TBL is favored with a 69.8% win probability. The spread is -1.5 and the total is 6.5.
TBL
4.13
Projected Score
VS
O/U 6.5
VAN
2.29
Projected Score
Win Probability
TBLVAN
-1.5
Spread (TBL)
6.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 70.1% (1,258 games)
Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile
VAN
1.22.33.4
TBL
3.04.15.2
Game Odds
TBL ML
-365
VAN ML
+310
Puck Line
-1.5
Total
6.5
Goalie Matchup
Kevin Lankinen
11-276.79 GAA78.1% SV
Andrei Vasilevskiy
39-152.53 GAA88.6% SV
Special Teams
Power Play
Penalty Kill
90% Confidence: 75.9% – 77.3% home win probability
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets NHL Hockey Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded NHL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the NHL 2026 season report card.