Soccer

1. FC Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction

April 5, 2026

5,000 Monte Carlo simulations

1. FC Köln vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction for April 5, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 5,000 game iterations and projects Eintracht Frankfurt 1.53 - 1. FC Köln 1.21. 1. FC Köln is favored with a 39.7% win probability. Expected total goals: 2.7..

Eintracht Frankfurt
1.53
Projected Goals
VS 2.7 total
1. FC Köln
1.21
Projected Goals
Match Outcome Probabilities
33.8%
27%
39.7%
Eintracht FrankfurtDraw1. FC Köln
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 94.5% (630 games)

Projected Goals Range 10th – 90th percentile

1. FC Köln
0.41.22.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
0.81.52.3

Expected Goals (xG)

Eintracht Frankfurt1.53
1. FC Köln1.19
15.5Shots13.1
5.8On Target4.7
5.5Corners5.2

Goal Probabilities

Over 0.5
94.9%
Over 1.5
75.4%
Over 2.5
28.3%
Over 3.5
16.6%
Under 2.5
71.7%
BTTS
49.3%

Most Likely Scores

1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-0
7.1%

Match Context

BUNMedium
Eintracht Frankfurt
2.33
Draw
2.42
1. FC Köln
4.62

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
1. FC Köln 39.7%
--
Total
2.7
+83.3 pts
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets Soccer Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 5,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →

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