ATP/WTA Tennis

Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonova Prediction

July 20, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonova prediction for July 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Anastasia Tikhonova 0 - Alice Rame 0. Alice Rame is favored with a 52.2% win probability.

Anastasia Tikhonova
1500
Hard Elo
VS Hard • WTA
Alice Rame
1500
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
47.8%
52.2%
Anastasia TikhonovaAlice Rame
Hard
Surface
Palermo
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
FINALAlice Rame def Anastasia Tikhonova (2–0)
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 49.9% (13,066 games)

Match Context

Tournament
Palermo
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · WTA

Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)

Alice Rame
1500
Anastasia Tikhonova
1500
Alice Rame leads by 0 Elo points on Hard

Serve & Return Analysis

Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. WTA average on Hard: 56.5%

Alice Rame SPW
58.6%
Above tour avg
Anastasia Tikhonova SPW
58.7%
Above tour avg
● Serve statistics are nearly identical — expect a close match

Odds & Edge

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Edge Analysis
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Key Matchup Factors

Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · WTA

Edge Analysis

Moneyline
Alice Rame 52.2%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Tennis 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Tennis 2026 season report card.

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