Gustavo Heide vs Kilian Feldbausch prediction for July 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Kilian Feldbausch 0 - Gustavo Heide 0. Kilian Feldbausch is favored with a 59.1% win probability.
Kilian Feldbausch
1650
Hard Elo
VS
Hard • ATP
Gustavo Heide
1459
Hard Elo
Match Win Probability
Kilian FeldbauschGustavo Heide
Hard
Surface
Generali Open Kitzbühel
Tournament
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 53.0% (12,903 games)
Match Context
Tournament
Generali Open Kitzbühel
Surface
Hard
Format
Best of 3 · ATP
Surface Elo Ratings (Hard)
Gustavo Heide
Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch leads by 191 Elo points on Hard
Serve & Return Analysis
Serve Points Won % (SPW) is the single most predictive metric in tennis. ATP average on Hard: 63.5%
Gustavo Heide SPW
60.1%
Below tour avg
Kilian Feldbausch SPW
62.3%
Below tour avg
● Kilian Feldbausch has a slight serve edge (+2.2%)
Odds & Edge
Key Matchup Factors
- Kilian Feldbausch holds a commanding 191-point Elo advantage on Hard
- Hard court provides a neutral surface — favors all-court players
- Kilian Feldbausch has the stronger serve profile on this surface
Surface Elo v1.0 · Barnett-Clarke serve model · 10,000 simulations · ATP
Edge Analysis
Moneyline
Kilian Feldbausch 59.1%
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets ATP/WTA Tennis Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Tennis 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Tennis 2026 season report card.