Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun prediction for August 13, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Connecticut Sun 84.0 - Atlanta Dream 86.7. Atlanta Dream is favored with a 58.5% win probability. The spread is 30.0 and the total is 173.5.
Connecticut Sun
84.0
Projected Score
VS
O/U 173.5
Atlanta Dream
86.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
Connecticut SunAtlanta Dream
+30.0
Spread (Connecticut Sun)
173.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.9% (277 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Atlanta Dream
798794
Connecticut Sun
778491
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets WNBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded WNBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the WNBA 2026 season report card.