Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever prediction for September 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Indiana Fever 91.5 - Las Vegas Aces 89.9. Indiana Fever is favored with a 55.3% win probability. The spread is -1.5 and the total is 183.5.
Indiana Fever
91.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 183.5
Las Vegas Aces
89.9
Projected Score
Win Probability
Indiana FeverLas Vegas Aces
-1.5
Spread (Indiana Fever)
183.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.1% (350 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Las Vegas Aces
839097
Indiana Fever
849299
Market Lines
Spread
Indiana Fever -1.5
Total
183.5
Model Edge
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
More Projections Today
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets WNBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
More Projections Today
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded WNBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the WNBA 2026 season report card.