Las Vegas Aces vs Toronto Tempo prediction for August 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Toronto Tempo 86.3 - Las Vegas Aces 96.2. Las Vegas Aces is favored with a 79.4% win probability. The spread is 10.5 and the total is 180.5.
Toronto Tempo
86.3
Projected Score
VS
O/U 180.5
Las Vegas Aces
96.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
Toronto TempoLas Vegas Aces
+10.5
Spread (Toronto Tempo)
180.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 80.8% (305 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Las Vegas Aces
8996103
Toronto Tempo
798694
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets WNBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded WNBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the WNBA 2026 season report card.