Washington Mystics vs Indiana Fever prediction for September 20, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Indiana Fever 91.5 - Washington Mystics 86.7. Indiana Fever is favored with a 65.7% win probability. The spread is -6.0 and the total is 178.0.
Indiana Fever
91.5
Projected Score
VS
O/U 178.0
Washington Mystics
86.7
Projected Score
Win Probability
Indiana FeverWashington Mystics
-6.0
Spread (Indiana Fever)
178.0
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 68.1% (316 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Washington Mystics
798794
Indiana Fever
849299
Market Lines
Spread
Indiana Fever -6.0
Total
178.0
Model Edge
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets WNBA Basketball Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded WNBA 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the WNBA 2026 season report card.