Memphis vs Tulane prediction for October 16, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Tulane 22.9 - Memphis 31.2. Memphis is favored with a 70.3% win probability. The spread is 7.0 and the total is 53.5.
Tulane
22.9
Projected Score
VS
O/U 53.5
Memphis
31.2
Projected Score
Win Probability
TulaneMemphis
+7.0
Spread (Tulane)
53.5
Total Line
10,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 73.9% (1,002 games)
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Memphis
243138
Tulane
162330
Market Lines
Spread
Tulane +7.0
Total
53.5
Moneyline
+215
Away -265
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets College Football Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →