Dunlap, Nick vs Hardy, Nick prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hardy, Nick 50 - Dunlap, Nick 39. Dunlap, Nick is favored with a 55.7% win probability. Dunlap, Nick wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.85.
Hardy, Nick
-0.85
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Dunlap, Nick
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hardy, NickDunlap, Nick
-103
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Dunlap, Nick
323946
Hardy, Nick
435057
Tournament Context
Event
Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Course
Port Royal Golf Course
Field
119 players
Wind
33 mph
Temp
77°F
Conditions
harder (+2.8)
Matchup Analysis
Dunlap, Nick
+0.00 SG
EF 39th
Skill Gap
+0.85 SG/round
large skill advantage for Dunlap, Nick
Hardy, Nick
-0.85 SG
EF 50th · Below Avg
AI Intelligence Analysis
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.