PGA Tour Golf

Hirata, Kensei vs Blanchet, Chandler Prediction

October 24, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Hirata, Kensei vs Blanchet, Chandler prediction for October 24, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Blanchet, Chandler 18 - Hirata, Kensei 12. Hirata, Kensei is favored with a 56.3% win probability. Hirata, Kensei wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.46.

Blanchet, Chandler
-0.46
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Hirata, Kensei
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
43.7%
56.3%
Blanchet, ChandlerHirata, Kensei
+117
Best Odds

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Hirata, Kensei
51219
Blanchet, Chandler
111825

Tournament Context

Event
Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Course
Port Royal Golf Course
Field
119 players
Wind
33 mph
Temp
77°F
Conditions
harder (+2.8)

Matchup Analysis

Hirata, Kensei
+0.00 SG
EF 12th
Skill Gap
+0.46 SG/round
meaningful skill advantage for Hirata, Kensei
Blanchet, Chandler
-0.46 SG
EF 18th · Below Avg
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Edge Analysis

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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.

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