Griffin, Ben vs James, Ben prediction for October 29, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects James, Ben 45 - Griffin, Ben 43. Griffin, Ben is favored with a 52.2% win probability. Griffin, Ben wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.12.
James, Ben
+0.85
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • VidantaWorld Mexico Open
Griffin, Ben
+0.92
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
James, BenGriffin, Ben
+102
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Griffin, Ben
364350
James, Ben
384552
Tournament Context
Event
VidantaWorld Mexico Open
Course
Vidanta Vallarta
Field
120 players
Wind
8 mph
Temp
85°F
Conditions
harder (+0.3)
Player Profile — Griffin, Ben
Strokes Gained
+0.92/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.308 SG adj
Expected Finish
43th / 120
Matchup Analysis
Griffin, Ben
+0.92 SG
EF 43th
Skill Gap
+0.12 SG/round
tight skill advantage for Griffin, Ben
James, Ben
+0.85 SG
EF 45th · Above Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.