James, Ben vs Thompson, Davis prediction for September 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Thompson, Davis 0 - James, Ben 34. James, Ben is favored with a 68.9% win probability. The spread is -0.15.
Thompson, Davis
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Biltmore Championship Asheville
James, Ben
+0.61
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Thompson, DavisJames, Ben
-110
Best Odds
Tournament Context
Event
Biltmore Championship Asheville
Course
The Cliffs at Walnut Cove
Field
131 players
Player Profile — James, Ben
Strokes Gained
+0.61/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
good
+0.172 SG adj
Expected Finish
34th / 131
Matchup Analysis
James, Ben
+0.61 SG
EF 34th
Skill Gap
-0.15 SG/round
tight skill advantage for Thompson, Davis
Thompson, Davis
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.