Meissner, Mac vs Ghim, Doug prediction for September 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Ghim, Doug 40 - Meissner, Mac 106. Meissner, Mac is favored with a 60.6% win probability. The spread is 0.03.
Ghim, Doug
+0.68
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Biltmore Championship Asheville
Meissner, Mac
+0.71
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Ghim, DougMeissner, Mac
+105
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Meissner, Mac
99106113
Ghim, Doug
334047
Tournament Context
Event
Biltmore Championship Asheville
Course
The Cliffs at Walnut Cove
Field
131 players
Player Profile — Meissner, Mac
Strokes Gained
+0.71/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.058 SG adj
Expected Finish
106th / 131
Matchup Analysis
Meissner, Mac
+0.71 SG
EF 106th
Skill Gap
+0.03 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
Ghim, Doug
+0.68 SG
EF 40th · Above Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.