Jonsson, Tobias vs Paratore, Renato prediction for October 14, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Paratore, Renato 119 - Jonsson, Tobias 88. Jonsson, Tobias is favored with a 58.7% win probability. Jonsson, Tobias wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 1.07.
Paratore, Renato
-1.06
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • DP World India Championship
Jonsson, Tobias
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Paratore, RenatoJonsson, Tobias
-107
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Jonsson, Tobias
818895
Paratore, Renato
112119126
Tournament Context
Event
DP World India Championship
Course
Delhi GC
Field
144 players
Wind
6 mph
Temp
84°F
Conditions
normal (+0.3)
Matchup Analysis
Jonsson, Tobias
+0.00 SG
EF 88th
Skill Gap
+1.07 SG/round
large skill advantage for Jonsson, Tobias
Paratore, Renato
-1.06 SG
EF 119th · Below Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.