PGA Tour Golf

Lowry, Shane vs MacIntyre, Robert Prediction

September 11, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Lowry, Shane vs MacIntyre, Robert prediction for September 11, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects MacIntyre, Robert 0 - Lowry, Shane 18. Lowry, Shane is favored with a 67.5% win probability. The spread is -0.05.

MacIntyre, Robert
+0.00
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • Amgen Irish Open
Lowry, Shane
+0.95
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
32.5%
67.5%
MacIntyre, RobertLowry, Shane
-111
Best Odds

Tournament Context

Event
Amgen Irish Open
Course
Trump International Golf Links & Hotel Ireland
Field
135 players

Player Profile — Lowry, Shane

Strokes Gained
+0.95/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.108 SG adj
Expected Finish
18th / 135

Matchup Analysis

Lowry, Shane
+0.95 SG
EF 18th
Skill Gap
-0.05 SG/round
essentially a coin flip
MacIntyre, Robert
+0.00 SG
EF 0th · Tour Avg
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Edge Breakdown
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Model Edge & Sizing

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Edge Analysis

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Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.

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