Rai, Aaron vs Thomas, Justin prediction for August 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Thomas, Justin 28 - Rai, Aaron 65. Rai, Aaron is favored with a 56.8% win probability. The spread is -0.24.
Thomas, Justin
+1.20
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • Wyndham Championship
Rai, Aaron
+0.91
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Thomas, JustinRai, Aaron
-110
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Rai, Aaron
586572
Thomas, Justin
212835
Tournament Context
Event
Wyndham Championship
Course
Sedgefield CC
Field
147 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
89°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded Golf 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the Golf 2026 season report card.