Rodgers, Patrick vs Grillo, Emiliano prediction for November 4, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Grillo, Emiliano 38 - Rodgers, Patrick 68. Grillo, Emiliano is favored with a 51.1% win probability. Grillo, Emiliano wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is -0.33.
Grillo, Emiliano
+0.14
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • World Wide Technology Championship
Rodgers, Patrick
-0.18
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Grillo, EmilianoRodgers, Patrick
+117
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Rodgers, Patrick
616875
Grillo, Emiliano
313845
Tournament Context
Event
World Wide Technology Championship
Course
El Cardonal at Diamante
Field
120 players
Wind
14 mph
Temp
85°F
Conditions
harder (+0.7)
Player Profile — Rodgers, Patrick
Strokes Gained
-0.18/round
Below Avg
Course Fit
excellent
+0.322 SG adj
Expected Finish
68th / 120
Matchup Analysis
Rodgers, Patrick
-0.18 SG
EF 68th
Skill Gap
-0.33 SG/round
tight skill advantage for Grillo, Emiliano
Grillo, Emiliano
+0.14 SG
EF 38th · Tour Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.