PGA Tour Golf

Blair, Zac vs Van Rooyen, Erik Prediction

November 6, 2026

10,000 Monte Carlo simulations

Blair, Zac vs Van Rooyen, Erik prediction for November 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Van Rooyen, Erik 46 - Blair, Zac 18. Blair, Zac is favored with a 60.8% win probability. Blair, Zac wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.46.

Van Rooyen, Erik
-0.17
Strokes Gained / Round
VS H2H • World Wide Technology Championship
Blair, Zac
+0.29
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
39.2%
60.8%
Van Rooyen, ErikBlair, Zac
-134
Best Odds
FINALBlair, Zac (3) def Van Rooyen, Erik (T50)

Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile

Blair, Zac
111825
Van Rooyen, Erik
394653

Tournament Context

Event
World Wide Technology Championship
Course
El Cardonal at Diamante
Field
120 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
84°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)

Player Profile — Blair, Zac

Strokes Gained
+0.29/round
Tour Avg
Course Fit
neutral
+0.088 SG adj
Expected Finish
18th / 120

Matchup Analysis

Blair, Zac
+0.29 SG
EF 18th
Skill Gap
+0.46 SG/round
meaningful skill advantage for Blair, Zac
Van Rooyen, Erik
-0.17 SG
EF 46th · Below Avg
🔒
Edge Breakdown
Available to premium members
Unlock

Model Edge & Sizing

🔒The model's edge against the market, and the stake it sizes for this matchup, are premium.Unlock

Edge Analysis

🔒
Edge Analysis
Available to premium members
Unlock
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.

Want Premium Predictions?

Get full access to all picks, detailed game-by-game analysis, and Kelly-optimized unit sizing across 9 leagues.

Go Premium Free Picks

Free picks in your inbox every morning

The same free projections published here — Monte Carlo simulated, Kelly sized, delivered daily. Free forever. Unsubscribe anytime.