Kirk, Chris vs Hughes, Mackenzie prediction for November 6, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Hughes, Mackenzie 120 - Kirk, Chris 14. Kirk, Chris is favored with a 57.8% win probability. Kirk, Chris wins more simulations despite the lower average score. The spread is 0.15.
Hughes, Mackenzie
+0.38
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • World Wide Technology Championship
Kirk, Chris
+0.53
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Hughes, MackenzieKirk, Chris
-120
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Kirk, Chris
71421
Hughes, Mackenzie
113120127
Tournament Context
Event
World Wide Technology Championship
Course
El Cardonal at Diamante
Field
120 players
Wind
11 mph
Temp
84°F
Conditions
harder (+0.5)
Player Profile — Kirk, Chris
Strokes Gained
+0.53/round
Above Avg
Course Fit
poor
-0.054 SG adj
Expected Finish
14th / 120
Matchup Analysis
Kirk, Chris
+0.53 SG
EF 14th
Skill Gap
+0.15 SG/round
tight skill advantage for Kirk, Chris
Hughes, Mackenzie
+0.38 SG
EF 120th · Tour Avg
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. This game was simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded GOLF 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the GOLF 2026 season report card.