Stevens, Sam vs Greyserman, Max prediction for July 21, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 10,000 game iterations and projects Greyserman, Max 87 - Stevens, Sam 74. Stevens, Sam is favored with a 61.6% win probability. The spread is 0.04.
Greyserman, Max
+0.33
Strokes Gained / Round
VS
H2H • 3M Open
Stevens, Sam
+0.31
Strokes Gained / Round
Head-to-Head Win Probability
Greyserman, MaxStevens, Sam
-125
Best Odds
Projected Points Range 10th – 90th percentile
Stevens, Sam
677481
Greyserman, Max
808794
Tournament Context
Event
3M Open
Course
TPC Twin Cities
Field
144 players
Wind
12 mph
Temp
81°F
Conditions
harder (+0.6)
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets PGA Tour Golf Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 10,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →