Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming prediction for July 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects ThunderTalk Gaming 0 - Bilibili Gaming 2. Bilibili Gaming is favored with a 85.1% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
ThunderTalk Gaming
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LPL
Bilibili Gaming
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
ThunderTalk GamingBilibili Gaming
2-0
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 80.8% (10,962 games)
Team Profiles
Bilibili Gaming
Elo: 1953 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 5-5 (50%)
ThunderTalk Gaming
Elo: 1455 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-10 (29%)
Score Distribution
Bilibili Gaming winsThunderTalk Gaming wins
0-2
7.0%
1-2
1.8%
2-0
66.3%
2-1
25.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Player +1.5%Draft +0.8%Phase +1.0%Context +0.6%
Key Factors
- Bilibili Gaming holds a significant Elo advantage (498 pts)
- Bilibili Gaming holds a slight edge in player quality
- Bilibili Gaming is in stronger recent form
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.32
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.