Movistar KOI Fénix vs LUA Gaming prediction for July 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects LUA Gaming 0 - Movistar KOI Fénix 2. Movistar KOI Fénix is favored with a 76.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-0 (Best of 3).
LUA Gaming
0
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LES
Movistar KOI Fénix
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
LUA GamingMovistar KOI Fénix
2-0
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 71.8% (10,962 games)
Team Profiles
Movistar KOI Fénix
Early
51%
Mid
51%
Late
50%
Elo: 1724 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-5 (50%)
LUA Gaming
Elo: 1376 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-5 (44%)
Score Distribution
Movistar KOI Fénix winsLUA Gaming wins
0-2
10.0%
1-2
13.3%
2-0
44.9%
2-1
31.8%
Advantage Breakdown
Player -0.2%Phase +1.8%Context -0.1%
Key Factors
- Movistar KOI Fénix holds a significant Elo advantage (348 pts)
- Movistar KOI Fénix is in stronger recent form
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.56
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded League of Legends 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the League of Legends 2026 season report card.