Dplus KIA vs Bilibili prediction for July 17, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Bilibili 2 - Dplus KIA 0. Bilibili is favored with a 76.4% win probability. Most likely series score: 0-2 (Best of 3).
Bilibili
2
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCK
Dplus KIA
0
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
BilibiliDplus KIA
0-2
Most Likely Score
HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 74.0% (11,084 games)
Team Profiles
Dplus KIA
Early
61%
Mid
59%
Late
58%
Elo: 1736 · Record: 16-7 (70%)
Bilibili
Elo: 1500 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
Dplus KIA winsBilibili wins
0-2
46.1%
1-2
28.7%
2-0
20.1%
2-1
5.0%
Advantage Breakdown
Draft -0.4%Context +0.3%
Key Factors
- Dplus KIA holds a significant Elo advantage (236 pts)
Market Odds
Dplus KIA
+291
Edge: -7.7%
Bilibili
-413
Edge: -5.1%
championship_v2.1 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.32
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →