BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force prediction for August 23, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Nongshim Red Force 1 - BNK FEARX 2. BNK FEARX is favored with a 54.7% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Nongshim Red Force
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • LCK
BNK FEARX
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Nongshim Red ForceBNK FEARX
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 56.2% (17,752 games)
Team Profiles
BNK FEARX
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1509 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Nongshim Red Force
Early
49%
Mid
50%
Late
51%
Elo: 1487 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 6-4 (60%)
Score Distribution
BNK FEARX winsNongshim Red Force wins
0-2
23.1%
1-2
22.2%
2-0
25.5%
2-1
29.2%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
BNK FEARX
-105
Nongshim Red Force
-119
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.22
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.