NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen prediction for September 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects CITA Kaizen 3 - NightBirds 1. CITA Kaizen is favored with a 51.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
CITA Kaizen
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Hitpoint Masters
NightBirds
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
CITA KaizenNightBirds
1-3
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 54.1% (2,827 games)
Team Profiles
NightBirds
Early
69%
Mid
70%
Late
71%
Elo: 1881 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 9-1 (90%)
CITA Kaizen
Early
70%
Mid
71%
Late
72%
Elo: 1944 · 🗡️ Skirmish · Record: 8-2 (80%)
Score Distribution
NightBirds winsCITA Kaizen wins
0-3
11.0%
1-3
20.9%
2-3
19.7%
3-0
11.9%
3-1
16.5%
3-2
19.9%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
NightBirds
-567
CITA Kaizen
+525
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.31
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.