mCon esports vs Senshi Esports prediction for September 15, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Senshi Esports 1 - mCon esports 3. mCon esports is favored with a 67.8% win probability. Most likely series score: 3-1 (Best of 5).
Senshi Esports
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • Road of Legends
mCon esports
3
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Senshi EsportsmCon esports
3-1
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 67.1% (2,827 games)
Team Profiles
mCon esports
Early
55%
Mid
56%
Late
57%
Elo: 1606 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Senshi Esports
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
51%
Elo: 1497 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
mCon esports winsSenshi Esports wins
0-3
4.4%
1-3
11.6%
2-3
16.2%
3-0
24.8%
3-1
25.5%
3-2
17.5%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
mCon esports
+203
Senshi Esports
-203
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.28
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
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How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
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Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.