Team Aqua ASD vs Colossal Gaming prediction for September 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Colossal Gaming 1 - Team Aqua ASD 2. Team Aqua ASD is favored with a 50.3% win probability. Most likely series score: 2-1 (Best of 3).
Colossal Gaming
1
Projected Maps
VS
Bo3 • EMEA
Team Aqua ASD
2
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
Colossal GamingTeam Aqua ASD
2-1
Most Likely Score
LOW
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 50.2% (19,082 games)
Projected
Colossal Gaming 1 — Team Aqua ASD 2
Actual
Colossal Gaming 3 — Team Aqua ASD 0
Team Profiles
Team Aqua ASD
Early
50%
Mid
51%
Late
52%
Elo: 1500
Colossal Gaming
Early
56%
Mid
57%
Late
58%
Elo: 1625 · ⚡ Early Aggro · Record: 5-5 (50%)
Score Distribution
Team Aqua ASD winsColossal Gaming wins
0-2
24.6%
1-2
25.1%
2-0
24.1%
2-1
26.1%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Team Aqua ASD
+3233
Colossal Gaming
-9900
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.55
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.