Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels prediction for September 18, 2026: Our Monte Carlo simulation ran 20,000 game iterations and projects Sentinels 3 - Shopify Rebellion 1. Sentinels is favored with a 69.6% win probability. Most likely series score: 1-3 (Best of 5).
Sentinels
3
Projected Maps
VS
Bo5 • LCS
Shopify Rebellion
1
Projected Maps
Series Win Probability
SentinelsShopify Rebellion
1-3
Most Likely Score
VERY_HIGH
Confidence
20,000
Simulations
Calibrated accuracy at this confidence: 72.4% (19,082 games)
Team Profiles
Shopify Rebellion
Early
42%
Mid
43%
Late
44%
Elo: 1341 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Sentinels
Early
47%
Mid
48%
Late
48%
Elo: 1434 · ⚔️ Teamfight · Record: 4-6 (40%)
Score Distribution
Shopify Rebellion winsSentinels wins
0-3
25.7%
1-3
27.6%
2-3
16.2%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
9.5%
3-2
16.4%
Advantage Breakdown
Key Factors
Market Odds
Shopify Rebellion
+245
Sentinels
-240
championship_v2.2 · 20,000 sims · Uncertainty: 0.26
Model Edge & Sizing
Edge Analysis
How this prediction was generated: This page shows output from the Olympus Bets League of Legends Monte Carlo engine. Each game is simulated 20,000 times using real-time team data, injury reports, and current odds. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Probabilities are calibrated using Bayesian methods and sized via the Kelly Criterion. Full methodology →
Permanent record: this game page is retired 90 days after the event. The full graded LOL 2026 record — every pick, win rate, units and ROI — lives on the LOL 2026 season report card.